MTT ROI & Variance simulator
A thousand runs of the same schedule, ten of them shown at random. They all carry the same ROI, so the spread between them is pure variance. That spread is why a winning player can be down for months.
1The tournament
Fill in what you can read in the lobby. You get an ROI range, then the variance that comes with it.
Enter a buy-in between 0.10 and 1,000,000.
Enter a rake of 0 or more.
Enter the advertised guarantee.
That rake is too big for that buy-in. The buy-in is the total, rake included.
Those numbers do not describe a real tournament. Check the guarantee against the buy-in.
You have used today’s free estimates. Start a free trial for the whole database.
The engine could not answer for this tournament.
No answer right now. Try again in a moment.
Estimated ROI for a solid reg
to %
For a solid regular at these stakes, not for you in particular. A range on purpose: an exact number would suggest a precision no ROI model has.
2The same ROI, played out
- winning run
- losing run
- expected value
- 90% of the 1,000 runs
- Expected profit
- Losing runs
- 90% of runs
- Worst downswing
Enter between 2 and 1,000,000 players.
Places paid must be between 0 and 100%.
Enter a buy-in above 0.
The rake must be smaller than the buy-in. The buy-in is the total, rake included.
Enter an ROI between -100% and 1,000%.
Enter between 1 and 10,000 tournaments.
Check the numbers above.
Assumptions edit
Free: one schedule at a time, with the ROI you type in. Subscription: the whole database, bankroll per room, session building and optimisation, and the ROI computed for you, tournament by tournament.